Football predictions built on a Poisson model, not gut feeling.
PredictKing runs every fixture through a Dixon-Coles corrected Poisson model, scores its own confidence, and tracks its accuracy in the open — so you know exactly how much to trust each call.
From kickoff data to a graded call
1. Model the fixture
Team attack/defense strengths are estimated from recent results and fed into a Poisson goal-scoring model with a Dixon-Coles correction for low-scoring games.
2. Score the confidence
Every prediction ships with a transparent confidence percentage and a High / Medium / Low tier — never a bare guess.
3. Track the record
Our statistics page recalculates accuracy across every window from yesterday to all-time, directly from results — nothing curated after the fact.
Unlock every match, every explanation
Free
A daily sample of predictions with basic statistics — enough to see the model in action.
Premium
Every match, every confidence score, full AI explanations, and the complete historical record.